Home Prices Hold Firm While Inventory Climbs

Existing-home sales rose 1.5% in September to 4.06 million units (SAAR). Median price hit $415,200 (+2.1% y/y). Pending sales were flat, showing steady but cautious momentum.

Home values remain sticky: FHFA HPI +0.4% m/m in August, Case-Shiller Index around 330. Builders are responding with rate buydowns and “flex funds.” Confidence rose to 37 (NAHB Index) —the best since April.

Bottom line: This is a balanced market. Buyers with flexibility can pair builder credits and motivated sellers to score serious value.

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Sources

🔗 [NAR Existing Sales – Sept 2025]
🔗 [FHFA HPI – Aug 2025]
🔗 [NAHB Confidence – Oct 2025]